一 | On the one-year anniversary of US forces’ hasty withdrawal from Afghanistan after a 20-year deployment, there is renewed focus on the decision-making made by the Joe Biden administration that resulted in the swift fall of the Afghan government and the eventual return to power of the Taliban* Islamist group.,With the Democratic POTUS’ approval rating hitting historic lows and eating away at his party’s November midterm prospects, it is commonly believed that his handling of the Afghan crisis at the time of the pull-out created the momentum that began to drag down Americans’ confidence in Biden’s leadership.,The United States-led military offensive "Operation Enduring Freedom" was originally launched by former US President George W. Bush in pursuit of terrorists from Al Qaeda** - including leader Osama bin Laden - for masterminding the September 11, 2001 attacks in the US.,At the time, a series of four coordinated terrorist attacks by the Islamist terrorist group Al Qaeda killed 2,996 people in the US as hijackers crashed two planes into the World Trade Center, hijacking another that failed to reach its target, crashing in Shanksville, Pa., and a third that struck the west side of the Pentagon.,© AP Photo / AMY SANCETTASmoke billows from the North and South Towers of the World Trade Center before they collapsed on September 11, 2001 in New York, NYSmoke billows from the North and South Towers of the World Trade Center before they collapsed on September 11, 2001 in New York, NY© AP Photo / AMY SANCETTA,After suspicion fell onto Al Qaeda, the United States responded by launching the War on Terror and invading Afghanistan under the pretext that the Taliban had failed to comply with Washington’s demands to expel Al Qaeda from the country and extradite the terrorist group’s leader, Osama bin Laden. American-led forces overthrew the Kabul-based Taliban government, which had been in control of large parts of the country since 1996.,Bin Laden was eventually killed nearly a decade later, in 2011, by a group of Navy SEALs who raided his compound in Pakistan. As Washington's attempt to impose Western ideas and forms of government on the country increasingly failed and the situation deteriorated for the Western-backed government in Kabul, the Donald Trump administration opened peace talks with the Taliban.,In February 2020, the Donald Trump administration signed an agreement in Doha, Qatar, between the US and the Taliban on drawing down US involvement based on a "reduction in violence." The "Agreement for Bringing Peace to Afghanistan" set out a series of commitments from the US and the Taliban regarding troop levels, counterterrorism, and intra-Afghan dialogue seeking to bring about "a permanent and comprehensive ceasefire.",The deal stipulated a deadline of May 1 the next year for all US troops to leave the country.,However, in April 2021, President Joe Biden, just seven months into his presidency, unilaterally deviated from the peace deal by extending the timeframe to September 11 and ordered all troops to withdraw from the country by an end of August 2021 deadline, with his decision triggering chaos and bloodshed.,‘Failed Intel’,As the US military began their pull-out, sending home troops and equipment, the emboldened Taliban proceeded with a lightening-swift onslaught. They took over huge swathes of the country, facing little resistance and picking up weapons and vehicles paid for by the US government which Afghan government troops left behind.,US 'Lost Track' of Afghan War Aims, Says Retired Marine General12 August, 17:00 GMT,Afghan officials, including the country’s president, Ashraf Ghani, fled, as the country’s capital, Kabul, was taken over by the militants on August 15, 2021 in a matter of hours.,None of the US intelligence assessments had predicted such a swift collapse, with American officials insisting in June that Kabul could capitulate within six to 12 months after the start of the withdrawal. Amid reports of failed intel forecasts, then-Pentagon spokesman John Kirby acknowledged that security in some parts of Afghanistan was “certainly deteriorating, and that’s of concern.” Washington continued to emphasize “commitment to the people of Afghanistan” and the goal of “ensuring that Afghanistan never again becomes a safe haven for terrorist groups who pose a threat to the US homeland.”,Amid the developments, the Biden administration debated whether to delay the American departure from Bagram Air Base, 35 miles north of Kabul, but eventually opted to go ahead. Army Gen. Mark A. Milley, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, had told the House Armed Services Committee that “it is not necessary for the United States to stay at Bagram for what we’re going to try to do here with Afghanistan.”,Civilians Caught in Crossfire,As the Taliban regained full control, more than 120,000 people, including Afghans and foreigners, were frantically evacuated in a vast airlift operation from Kabul International airport. Thousands of Afghan citizens desperately sought to flee the country in fear of the Islamist group’s return to rule.,Exclusive- A clear video (from other angle) of men falling from C-17. They were Clinging to some parts of the plane that took off from Kabul airport today. #Talibans #Afghanistan #Afghanishtan pic.twitter.com/CMNW5ngqrK— Aśvaka - آسواکا News Agency (@AsvakaNews) August 16, 2021,Searing images from the capital’s airport showed desperate people trying to cling to the wings of planes that were taking off amid the huge airlift operation. Many Afghans who collaborated with the occupying US forces and feared retribution from the Islamist group were left behind in the hasty evacuation. Between 100 and 200 Americans remained in Afghanistan, despite wanting to get out.,© AP Photo / Wali SabawoonSmoke rises from a deadly explosion outside the airport in Kabul, Afghanistan, Thursday, Aug. 26, 2021. Smoke rises from a deadly explosion outside the airport in Kabul, Afghanistan, Thursday, Aug. 26, 2021. © AP Photo / Wali Sabawoon,Furthermore, 13 US troops were killed on August 26 in a suicide bomb attack blamed on an Afghan offshoot of Daesh***.,The explosive device detonated by a single bomber who was able to approach Kabul International Airport's Abbey Gate killed at least 170 Afghan civilians and 13 US service members. The bomber was not stopped as Afghans had begun using alternate routes to the gate due to the difficulty of getting through Taliban checkpoints.,In another deadly incident that marred the withdrawal, a botched US drone strike killed 10 civilians - seven of them children - on August 29.,WorldCIA Reportedly Warned US Military of Likely Presence of Children Near Afghan Drone Strike Target 19 September 2021, 08:56 GMT,The US claimed it had been targeting a Daesh operative with a car full of explosives linked to the terrorist group’s affiliate, planning an imminent attack on American forces during the final days of the evacuation. However, the man turned out to be a longtime Afghan aid worker, Zamarai Ahmadi, employed by Nutrition and Education International, a nongovernmental organization focused on food security.,Approximately three weeks after the strike, the military acknowledged its "tragic mistake," yet a subsequent Air Force review around the strike found "no violation of law, including the law of war.",The last US aircraft left Kabul on August 30, 2021.,AfghanistanKirby Under Fire After He 'Takes Issue With Premise' US Handed Afghanistan to 'Terrorist Group'3 August, 09:54 GMT,Joe Biden’s administration faced bipartisan criticism for the Afghan withdrawal.,On August 17, just two days after the fall of Kabul, National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan promised the White House would “conduct an extensive hot wash” and “look at every aspect of this from top to bottom.” But it remains unclear when any progress will be made by the congressionally-ordered bipartisan 16-member commission on the 20-year Afghan war, US media reported.,NBC News: Biden Admin Prepping Unified Message on Anniversary of Botched Afghan Withdrawal11 July, 16:09 GMT,The White House is believed to have geared up for congressional investigations into the Afghanistan withdrawal if Republicans win the House or the Senate in November’s midterm elections, according to sources cited in US media reports.,* The Taliban is an organization under UN sanctions over terrorist activities.,**Al-Qaeda is a terrorist group banned in Russia and many other countries.,*** Daesh, also known as ISIS/IS/Islamic State, is a terrorist group banned in Russia.。
二 | 数据来源：平湖市人民政府 炎炎夏日，浙江平湖的羽绒服却“爆单”了。
三 | 前不久，全国最大的单品类羽绒服专业市场——平湖·中国服装城举办订货会，吸引超万名国内外客商，订单额突破6亿元。有老板直呼，这是近20年来最忙的一回。 当前，一些产业苦于应对需求不足，一些地方困于动能转换阵痛。透视浙江平湖这场反常的羽绒服热潮，或许能为传统产业向新向优、中小城市重塑优势提供启示。 反季买羽绒服是消费新趋势，更是产业新机遇。 当下，我们要重视总需求不足的突出矛盾，也不要忽视了细分需求的增长潜力。点开社交软件，能看到大量反季消费的帖子。登山、跨南半球旅行、冰雪运动等，都为“冬衣夏穿”提供了新场景。
四 | 如果停留于传统思维，羽绒服不过是冬日御寒装备。
五 | 但如果敢于打破陈规，其完全可以蜕变为多元审美、彰显个性的时尚符号。今年，平湖羽绒服在款式上突出轻量化、功能化、时尚化，在选色上也跳出往常的“黑白灰”，上新奶油杏、焦糖棕等流行色，耳目一新的设计让产品更受青睐。 这启示我们，敏锐捕捉消费变化，竞争再饱和的老产业里也能找到新商机。
六 | 从外贸服装代工厂到全国最大的羽绒服生产供应基地，平湖也走过弯路。 上世纪80年代，平湖大量承接外贸订单。“全球百件衣，平湖有其一”，规模是做大了，但潜台词是“什么品类都做”。10多年前，当地办起平湖服装城，结果产品繁杂、款式雷同，消费者不买账。 时代在变，机遇也在变，老路不会一直好走，机遇也不会自动变成优势。“与其铺开一张网，不如磨尖一根针。”当地在试错与比较中重新校准产业方向，主动砍掉其他品类走“窄路”，最终培育出世界闻名的羽绒之都。 今天，中国消费品数量和种类已经极大丰富。对一家企业、一个地方来讲，想在市场的“热带雨林”中卡住生态位，过去的“大而全”策略很难再奏效，必须练就绝活才能争得阳光雨露。 这启示我们，做大一堆不如做精一个。中国的产业分工已转向高度专业化、精细化。
七 | 与其挤千军万马的“红海”市场，不如集中精力走“窄路”，另辟蹊径走新路。 令人意外的是，平湖其实不产羽绒，可见这座小城的产业优势并非“得天独厚”，而是来自“无中生有”。
八 | 再看平湖所处的嘉兴，海宁不产皮革，却做成了家喻户晓的皮革城；桐乡不产羊毛，却是全国最大羊毛衫集散中心。从嘉兴到义乌，“无中生有”是浙江不少城市创造商业传奇的密码。 继续把视野放宽。在新疆塔里木河畔，通过水土改良，沉睡的盐碱地竟化作养殖海产的“蓝色粮仓”。在宁夏中卫，成片光伏板屹立在腾格里沙漠，以算电协同让大漠生金。“无中生有”，让大量过去欠缺开发价值的土地“长”出新产业，重构新优势。 再看回平湖这件羽绒服，“无中生有”里有大智慧。“无”是对自身短板劣势的精准洞悉，想要摆脱困境，首先就要敢于直面困难，找出破题点。“有”并非凭空臆想，而是立足自身实际进行创造性转化，通过主动作为将潜在机会变成现实。 百年变局加速演进、科技革命和产业变革加速发展，如何转化危机、激活潜能？ 平湖的产业实践里，有点石成金的创新思路、敢闯敢干的改革精神，更有不认命、不服输的进取心态。 在危机中育新机，于变局中开新局。一件“无中生有”的羽绒服，正是一本鲜活的启示录。（邱超奕）。
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