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“白海豚”可能9日下午到10日登陆浙江 周六起风雨升级 影响或比台风“巴威”要大_我的网站

一 |     昨天，天气又是以闷热开场，位于副高南部边缘的杭州最高温仍有36.4℃。不过，一场大转折已在酝酿——随着今年第13号台风“白海豚”的逐步靠近，风雨即将“到货”，高温亟待“熄火”。    LONDON -- Voters are casting ballots Thursday in two special elections in England that could add more misery to the beleaguered governing Conservative Party as it prepares to fight a national election next year.The Conservatives won both Tamworth in central England and Mid-Bedfordshire, north of London, by large margins during the last national election in 2019. But both constituencies’ lawmakers resigned under a cloud.Tamworth legislator Chris Pincher quit after Parliament’s standards watchdog recommended he be suspended for “completely inappropriate” behavior after groping two men at a London private members’ club. Then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson’ s reluctance to sanction Pincher when the allegations emerged helped trigger Johnson's ouster at the hands of his own party last year.Mid-Bedfordshire member of Parliament Nadine Dorries resigned over the treatment of Johnson and her own failure to be appointed to Parliament’s upper chamber, the House of Lords. Dorries is a strong ally of Johnson who has blamed Prime Minister Rishi Sunak for helping to topple the former leader.The Conservatives acknowledge they face “difficult headwinds” in both seats. Polls close at 10 p.m. (2100GMT), with results announced early Friday.The main opposition Labour Party and the smaller Liberal Democrats hope to win the seats but have tried to manage expectations, noting that the Conservatives won substantial majorities in 2019. Labour has called both districts “super-safe Tory seats.”Losing either one would add to pressure on the governing party, which has lost several byelections since Sunak took office just under a year ago. He replaced Liz Truss, who quit in October 2022 after her plan for unfunded tax cuts sent financial markets into turmoil and rocked the economy.Truss spent just seven weeks in office after winning a party leadership contest to replace Johnson, who quit after three years in office when scandals over money and ethics turned party lawmakers against him.Sunak steadied the economy but has not managed to boost the party’s rating in opinion polls, where it consistently lags between 10 and 20 points behind Labour.The Conservatives have been in power nationally since 2010, years that saw austerity following the world banking crisis, Britain’s divisive decision to leave the European Union, a global pandemic and a European war that has triggered the worst cost-of-living crisis in decades.Polls show the Conservatives are losing support across the country, from affluent southern voters turned off by Brexit to working-class northern voters who switched from Labour in 2019 after Johnson promised to spread prosperity to long-neglected areas.Sunak has tried to rally support by arguing he has a long-term vision and is prepared to make tough decisions to change Britain.Earlier this month Labour won a special election victory over the Scottish National Party in Scotland. Winning seats in Scotland, where the pro-independence SNP has long been dominant, is key to Labour’s attempt to secure a majority in the next national election, due by the end of 2024.。据中央气象台消息，台风“白海豚”（强台风级）的中心昨天下午5点钟位于浙江省温州市偏东方向约1130公里的西北太平洋上，预计以每小时15—20公里的速度向西偏北方向移动，今天白天穿过琉球群岛后移入东海，之后移速减慢，并逐渐向华东沿海靠近。台风“白海豚”究竟会在哪里登陆？目前，尚未有定数，这是因为天气舞台上“捣乱分子”太多。浙江省气象台首席预报员娄小芬解释，“今天下午台风中心进入东海后，副热带高压减弱断裂，导致台风在近海移速变慢。同时，此前‘三台共舞’形成的低压带对台风存在牵制，西南方向已经停编的台风‘鲸鱼’残留低压未来可能会被吸进‘白海豚’内部，加强或维持环流强度。

二 | ”浙江省气象台预计，“白海豚”较大可能于9日下午到10日在浙江沿海登陆，登陆时为台风级或强台风级，也不排除在浙江近海转向穿过舟山群岛北上的可能性。

三 | 西行登陆抑或北上而去，对浙江会有什么不同影响？“如果台风在我省东部沿海登陆，降水影响范围广，移速较慢，累计雨量大，全省将出现大范围降水，尤其中部地区可能成为强降雨中心。

四 | ”娄小芬进一步分析，若台风在近海转向北上，影响范围相对较小，主要集中在浙北和沿海地区，但风雨仍较强。综合来看，无论台风“白海豚”往哪里走，浙江都免不了风雨影响，只是区域不同。“‘白海豚’面积很大，南北直径共有1200公里，相当于4个浙江省的面积，而且移动速度较慢，相比7月匆匆而过的台风‘巴威’，影响浙江的时间较长、累计雨量可能较大。”娄小芬提醒，在东海海域10级以上大风持续时间可能会达到60小时以上，最强的风力也会达到16级以上。

五 | 具体来看，周六开始，全省风雨影响全面升级。浙江天气网预计，沿海地区首当其冲，以阵雨雷雨为主，局部暴雨，以上有雷雨地区局地可伴有短时暴雨、7～9级雷暴大风。

六 | 周日起，降雨范围扩大，一直到下周二，全省中到大阵雨或雷雨，沿海地区部分暴雨，局部大暴雨。风力更需警惕，沿海海面9—10日部分可达12—14级，局部14—16级；内陆高山区、江河湖面和沿海地区9—11日局部最大阵风可达11—13级。

七 | 高温也会在风雨影响下“熄火”，未来几天全省最高气温普遍在30℃上下。此次“白海豚”较大可能正面登陆浙江，影响时间长，风大雨强，综合致灾风险较高，在此提醒，有关部门需加强回港避风船只管理、滨海设施防风加固工作，同时防范强降雨可能引发的山洪、地质灾害、中小河流洪水等次生灾害，及对城市运行、交通运输、农业生产等的不利影响，密切关注最新台风预报预警信息，做好防台风各项措施。

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Published on:11:07:47